Minamitane coastline, Tanegashima
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The Origin

Riding the Wave, Preparing for the Shift.

We are deeply grateful for this monumental AI bull market, which has created unprecedented opportunities. What began as a close circle tracking the global GPU supply chain has evolved into a disciplined playbook. However, we do not view this boom through rose-colored glasses.

Beyond the soaring charts, the long-term structural consequences are becoming clear: automated displacement leading to shifting employment, and potential deflationary pressures on consumer demand. We are not a fund. We hold our own money and publish our own marks. This platform is built to provide actionable insights for those who wish to navigate both sides of the coin — capturing technological alpha today, while building resilience for tomorrow.

The Book

Holdings & Tracking

Conviction names ridden through the AI cycle. Toggle the lens to see how far they've run.

NVDA logo
NVDA
NVIDIA Corp.
+698.8%
TSM logo
TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor
+111.4%
SMCI logo
SMCI
Super Micro Computer
+174.7%
DELL logo
DELL
Dell Technologies
+177.8%
MU logo
MU
Micron Technology
+66.7%
000660 logo
000660
SK Hynix Inc.
+2603.5%
005930 logo
005930
Samsung Electronics
+469.7%
WDC logo
WDC
Western Digital (SanDisk)
+96.7%
PLTR logo
PLTR
Palantir Technologies
+481.1%
AMD logo
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
+99.7%
AVGO logo
AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
+198.9%
ASML logo
ASML
ASML Holding
+36.8%
AMAT logo
AMAT
Applied Materials
+73.7%
MRVL logo
MRVL
Marvell Technology
+50.8%
LRCX logo
LRCX
Lam Research
+80.3%
HPE logo
HPE
Hewlett Packard Enterprise
+25.8%
CDNS logo
CDNS
Cadence Design Systems
+66.0%
ARM logo
ARM
ARM Holdings
+145.1%
VRT logo
VRT
Vertiv Holdings
+519.7%
ANET logo
ANET
Arista Networks
+121.0%
MSFT logo
MSFT
Microsoft Corp.
+62.7%

Return measured from the close on Nov 30, 2022, the day ChatGPT launched.

Note: This chart updates daily after market close.

The Weather

Macro Dashboard

The conditions we trade into. Three streams, always moving.

Central Bank Rates

US Fed Funds
4.50%−0.25
ECB Deposit
2.75%−0.25
BoJ Policy
0.50%+0.25
BoE (SONIA)
4.25%−0.25
US 10Y Yield
4.18%−0.06
2s10s Spread
+0.34+0.04
US Fed Funds
4.50%−0.25
ECB Deposit
2.75%−0.25
BoJ Policy
0.50%+0.25
BoE (SONIA)
4.25%−0.25
US 10Y Yield
4.18%−0.06
2s10s Spread
+0.34+0.04

Inflation Metrics

US CPI YoY
2.9%−0.2
US Core PCE
2.6%−0.1
EU HICP
2.4%−0.3
5Y Breakeven
2.31%+0.02
Wage Growth
4.1%−0.1
Brent Crude
$72.4−1.8
US CPI YoY
2.9%−0.2
US Core PCE
2.6%−0.1
EU HICP
2.4%−0.3
5Y Breakeven
2.31%+0.02
Wage Growth
4.1%−0.1
Brent Crude
$72.4−1.8